Wednesday, 27 February 2019

Tell Me The Odds

To run all the calculations needed to fully predict the likely successes of this course of action, I would need all the computing power in the Alliance for 3.78 weeks.

If I only had the computing power of this ship, it would take me, by coincidence, 3.78 years.

By reducing the number of factors I take into account, and reducing the number of impacted parties to consider, and also reducing the timeframe of results to graph, I can produce an estimate in, again coincidentally, 3.78 minutes.

I have received the results now, and...

3.78 to 1 against is fair odds.

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